ALIBABA

Special Reports - 18/11/2025

18 November, 2025

The example below uses Contracts For Difference (CFDs). Calculations are only on the price of the specific instrument on the date below and calculations indicate a possible profit or loss. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Alibaba (#ALIBABA) weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:

ALIBABA: ABOUT THE COMPANY

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd is a leading global technology company specializing in e-commerce, cloud computing, and digital services. Its platforms include Taobao, Tmall, Alibaba.com, AliExpress, Lazada, Cainiao, and Alibaba Cloud, serving customers worldwide. The company focuses on user growth in e-commerce and is investing heavily in AI and cloud infrastructure to drive long-term growth.
ALIBABA STOCK is included in several major global indices, most notably China’s main index, the Hang Seng (HK50), as well as the Hang Seng TECH Index.

E-COMMERCE: THE INDUSTRY

THE GLOBAL E-COMMERCE MARKET IS EXPECTED TO TOTAL $6.9 TRILLIONS IN 2025. The global e-commerce market is projected to be worth $6.9 trillion this year, up from $6.3 trillion in 2024, opening up further opportunities for businesses to reach new customer segments worldwide.
E-COMMERCE SALES ARE EXPECTED TO GROW 8.4% IN 2025. This growth highlights the increasing consumer preference for online shopping. Businesses that embrace this trend now will be better equipped to thrive in a market that is rapidly moving away from traditional in-store shopping experiences.
BY 2027, 23% OF RETAIL PURCHASES ARE EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE ONLINE. By 2027, nearly a quarter of all retail purchases are projected to occur online, with the e-commerce market projected to surpass $7.9 trillion.
E-COMMERCE MARKET SHARE (COUNTRY): China is estimated to claim 52.1% of the global market, USA with 20.1%, UK with 3.4% and Japan with 3.3%. Rest of the world covers 20.7%.
E-COMMERCE MARKET SHARE (COMPANY): Alibaba (Taobao and Tmall) claimed 25.00%, while Amazon took up 7.8% of the global e-commerce market. JD.com claimed 2.1% of the market.

ALIBABA: EVENTS

EVENT (THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 25, PREMARKET): Q3 2025 EARNINGS REPORT. Alibaba is expected to print $34.54 billion in revenue for Q3 of 2025. This is an increase of 4.7% from the same period last year ($32.99 billion). The company is also expected to print $1.89 billion in Net Income, which would be an increase of 5.5% from the same period last year. In addition, the company is expected to post Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.89.
LAST TIME (Q2 EARNINGS RELEASED on AUGUST 29, 2025): Alibaba’s Q2 results exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching $34.26 million, an increase of 1.8% year-over-year, and Earnings Per Share reaching 1.72$.
STOCK PERFORMANCE ON AUGUST 29, 2025: The stock rose 13.94%, from $119.60 to hit a session high of $136.27. However, the price could go in the opposite direction.

*Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

JACK MA: RETURN AND STRATEGIC INFLUENCE

JACK MA: FOUNDER AND VISIONARY LEADER. Jack Ma co-founded Alibaba in 1999 and served as its executive chairman from 1999 until October 10, 2019, building it into one of China’s largest technology conglomerates.
JACK MA RETURNS TO A VISIBLE ROLE IN 2025. After stepping back following the Ant Group IPO halt and regulatory crackdown in 2020, Jack Ma has become more actively involved in Alibaba’s strategic direction.
VISITS AND STRATEGY ENGAGEMENT. Ma has been visiting Alibaba campuses, meeting with senior leadership, and influencing decisions on AI, cloud, and e-commerce initiatives, despite holding no official executive title.
IMPACT ON INVESTOR SENTIMENT. His presence has historically boosted investor confidence and internal morale, often leading to short-term stock rallies whenever he reappears publicly.

ALIBABA: PRICE ACTION

THE STOCK HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $319.08 (October 27, 2020). The stock price currently trades around $157, and if it fully recovers from its recent all-time highs, it could offer an upside of around 103%. However, the stock price could also decline.
ANALYSTS OPINIONS: JP Morgan forecasts $235. Deutsche Bank forecasts $220. Jefferies forecasts $223.

#ALIBABA, November 18, 2025.
Current Price: 157

Alibaba	Weekly
Trend direction	UP
Resistance 3	225
Resistance 2	200
Resistance 1	175
Support 1	140
Support 2	135
Support 3	130

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot¹

Alibaba
Pivot Points	Resistance 3	Resistance 2	Resistance 1	Support 1	Support 2	Support 3
Profit or loss in $	68,000	43,000	18,000	-17,000	-22,000	-27,000
Profit or loss in €²	58,721	37,132	15,544	-14,680	-18,998	-23,316
Profit or loss in £²	51,719	32,705	13,690	-12,930	-16,733	-20,536
Profit or loss in C$²	95,462	60,366	25,269	-23,866	-30,885	-37,904

1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:35 (GMT) 18/11/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.

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