EUR/USD Weekly Special Report Based on 1 Lot Calculation:
USA: GOVERMANT REOPENS AFTER 43- DAY SHUTDOWN.
- BREAKING (WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 12, 2025): U.S. GOVERNMENT REOPENS AFTER HISTORIC SHUTDOWN. The U.S. government has reopened after a 43-day shutdown—the longest in U.S. history—as President Donald Trump signed a funding bill restoring operations for agencies closed since October 1. The deal was secured after eight Democrats joined Republicans in supporting the package, allowing the government to remain funded at least through January 30, 2026. The agreement ends weeks of political deadlock, ensures back pay for federal workers, and enables key federal services to resume.
EVENTS:
- WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 19 AT 11:00 GMT: INFLATION (CPI) IN EURO ZONE IN OCTOBER. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures changes in the prices of goods and services from the consumer’s perspective. A preliminary report published at the end of October showed that inflation eased to 2.1%. The revised October reading, due for release now, is expected to come in at 2.2%—unchanged from September’s level, but slightly higher than the initial October estimate.
- WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 19 AT 20:00 GMT: FOMC MEETING MINUTES. The FOMC minutes to be released on November 19, 2025, will detail the discussions and policy considerations from the October 28–29 meeting, including officials’ views on inflation, employment, and economic growth. Markets will look for signals on the future path of interest rates, whether further tightening is likely or a pause is being considered, as well as the committee’s assessment of inflation risks, labor-market conditions, and global developments. These minutes are a key market mover, offering deeper forward guidance beyond the official policy statement and providing insight into the Fed’s economic outlook and potential policy direction, including interest-rate trends and balance-sheet normalization.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- LONGER-TERM UPTREND: Since January 2025, EUR/USD has been moving in a steady rising trend, supported by the blue trendline that slopes higher. The pair is currently trading close to this line, indicating that the broader uptrend remains intact despite some recent sideways movement.
- KEY MOVING AVERAGE SUPPORTS: The 200-day moving average (red) is trending higher and remains below the current price. This alignment with the trendline confirms that the broader trend is still firm. As long as the currency pair stays above both supports, the overall outlook remains positive with potential for further gains.
GRAPH (Daily): January 2025– November 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
EURUSD, November 18, 2025.
Current Price: 1.15800
|
EUR/USD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1.1930 |
|
|
1.1760 |
|
|
1.1710 |
|
|
1.1452 |
|
|
1.1412 |
|
|
1.1362 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
EUR/USD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
3,500 |
1,800 |
1,300 |
-1,280 |
-1,680 |
-2,180 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
3,022 |
1,554 |
1,122 |
-1,105 |
-1,450 |
-1,882 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
2,663 |
1,369 |
989 |
-974 |
-1,278 |
-1,659 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
4,544 |
2,337 |
1,688 |
-1,662 |
-2,181 |
-2,830 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:30 (GMT) 18/11/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit