August 17th - 20th Earnings Basket Weekly Uptrend Opportunity based On 1.00 Lot Calculation:
EARNINGS SEASON AUGUST 17 - 20
Company |
Ticker |
Sectors |
Earnings Date |
Time |
Walmart |
#WAL_MART |
Consumer Retail |
August 17, 2021 |
PREMARKET |
Nvidia |
#NVDA |
Semiconductor Manufacturing |
August 18, 2021 |
AFTERMARKET |
Applied Materials |
#APPLIEDMAT |
Semiconductor manufacturing |
August 19, 2021 |
AFTERMARKET |
Deere & Co. |
#DEERE |
Agricultural Machinery |
August 20, 2021 |
PREMARKET |
Source: Bloomberg
- The four stocks of consideration are expected to report their Q2 or Q3 earnings next week (August 17-20).
- The stocks belong to three different sectors (Agricultural Machinery, Consumer Retail, and Semiconductor Manufacturing). They are all part of S&P 500. Walmart is also part of the prestigious Dow Jones Industrial Average.
- According to Bloomberg, the basket has beaten earnings and revenues expectations collectively 87.5% of the time over the last 8 quarters.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE (PAST 8 QUARTERS): EARNINGS and REVENUE
Company |
Earnings Beats Expectations |
Revenues Beats Expectations |
Walmart |
6 of 8 |
6 of 8 |
Nvidia |
8 of 8 |
8 of 8 |
Applied Materials |
7 of 8 |
7 of 8 |
Deere & Co. |
7 of 8 |
7 of 8 |
Source: Bloomberg
STOCK PRICE REACTION: BASED ON STATISTICAL ANALYSIS (PAST 8 QUARTERS)1
Downside potential |
Upside Potential |
-2.65% |
+8.92% |
Potential Profit/Loss on 1 lot of every stock in the basket2 |
|
-$17,875 |
$60,141 |
-€15,248 |
€51,301 |
-£12,893 |
£43,378 |
-C$22,460 |
C$75,567 |
Data Source on Stock Returns and Volatility: Bloomberg
TARGET LEVELS: SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Company |
Support |
Current Price |
Resistance |
Walmart |
$141.16 |
$145.00 |
€157.93 |
Nvidia |
$196.65 |
$202.00 |
$220.01 |
Applied Materials |
$138.24 |
$142.00 |
$154.66 |
Deere & Co. |
$361.17 |
$371.00 |
$404.08 |
Note: Support and Resistance Levels have been calculated by using upside and downside potential figures.
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.
1-Calculation Downside/Upside Potential: Average price reaction for all four stocks from 5 trading sessions prior to the earnings date release for the last 8 quarterly earnings releases.
2-Profit/Loss Calculation (**): Based on 1 lot (*) on each of the four stocks (4 lots). Range: based on the statistical analysis.
* Walmart and Nvidia and Applied Materials: 1.00 lot is equivalent to 1000 units, Deere &Co.: 1 lot is equivalent to 500 units.
** Calculations for exchange rate used as of 12:24 (GMT+1) 10/08/2021.
Fortrade recommends the use of Stop-Loss and Take-Profit, please speak to your Client Manager regarding their use.
*** You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one
**** Trailing stop technique can protect the profit - Ask your Client Manager for more detail