GBP/USD Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- CURRENT UPTREND (SINCE APRIL 2025): The orange trend line, describing the uptrend, is depicted on the chart below. GBP/USD currency pair has tested a level of 1.27 in April, and since then it has been moving above this uptrend line. However, there remains a risk of a potential breakout below this level if market conditions change.
- 50-, AND 100-DAILY MOVING AVERAGE POINT TO UPTREND: GBP/USD currency pair has recently traded above the 50-, and 100-Daily Moving Average, pointing to an ongoing uptrend. However, this trend can also change if prices fall below the 50-, and 100-Daily Moving Average.
- LONG-TERM SUPPORT AREA AT THE PSYCHOLOGICAL MARK OF 1.325: GBP/USD currency pair have recently tested levels of 1.325, which has been tested 4 since April 2025.
GRAPH (Daily): February 2025 – September 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
EVENTS:
- THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 11 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US INFLATION (CPI) (AUGUST). Inflation data from the U.S. will be a key driver for the dollar. Should CPI come in softer than expected, it would strengthen the case for the Federal Reserve to move forward with interest rate cuts, weighing on the dollar. A weaker inflation print could therefore provide a boost to the pound and support further upside in GBP/USD.
- FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 12 AT 7:00 GMT+1: UK GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) (JULY). The GDP release is expected to highlight a steady recovery in the UK economy. A solid reading would strengthen confidence in the outlook, easing concerns about an imminent slowdown and reducing pressure on the Bank of England to rush into deeper rate cuts. Such momentum could lift the British pound and support further upside in GBP/USD.
- FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 12 AT 15:00 GMT+1: US MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT (SEPTEMBER). The consumer sentiment in the US is one of the most important economic indicators, which is published once a month. If data for September shows weaker than expected figures, the USD could be expected to see some negative pressure.
CENTRAL BANKS: US FEDERAL RESERVE
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE DECISION. After some weaker-than-expected employment market data in July and downward revisions to June figures and Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, markets have increased their expectations for an interest rate cut in September, expected to be followed by another in December. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to decline to 4% by the end of 2025. This could put negative pressure on the US dollar and, in turn, support the GBP/USD price.
- THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 18 AT 12:00 GMT+1: BANK OF ENGLAND INTEREST RATE DECISION: The Bank of England may signal a slower pace of rate cuts as the UK economy shows signs of stability. A cautious stance would likely support the pound and push GBP/USD higher.
GBPUSD, September 8, 2025.
Current Price: 1.3510
|
GBP/USD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1.3800 |
|
|
1.3700 |
|
|
1.3630 |
|
|
1.3400 |
|
|
1.3350 |
|
|
1.3300 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
GBP/USD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
2,900 |
1,900 |
1,200 |
-1,100 |
-1,600 |
-2,100 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
2,473 |
1,620 |
1,023 |
-938 |
-1,364 |
-1,791 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
2,146 |
1,406 |
888 |
-814 |
-1,184 |
-1,554 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
4,077 |
2,671 |
1,687 |
-1,546 |
-2,249 |
-2,952 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100.000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 9:55 (GMT+1) 8/9/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.