GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR CONTINUES
- EVENT (ESTIMATED: SEPTEMBER 8 - 9): EU LEADERS TO VISIT PRESIDENT TRUMP AS TRUMP PREPARES FOR “SECOND PHASE” OF SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA:. The US President will meet with certain European leaders to discuss the war in Ukraine. The US President added that he will speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin soon, as well as signalling that his administration was ready to move to a second phase of sanctions on Moscow.
BREAKING (SEPTEMBER 5): UKRAINIAN PRESIDENT ZELENSKY REJECTED PUTIN’S INVITE TO MOSCOW, WITH RUSSIA CONDUCTING THE LARGEST AERIAL BOMBARDMENT SO FAR: Higher geopolitical tensions lift demand for Gold. Ukrainian President Zelensky rejected Putin’s invitation to meet in Moscow, calling it unrealistic. Meanwhile, the Russian Military conducted the largest air assault of the war. In a response to these events, US President Trump once again said that Europe must stop buying Russian crude oil to cut Russia’s funding for the war effort.
US FEDERAL RESERVE AND OTHER EVENTS:
- THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 11 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US INFLATION (CPI) (AUGUST). A lower than expected inflation reading could increase the odds of higher interest rate cuts by the FED in September or increase the odds of more interest rate cuts by the end of 2025. This index measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. The inflation rate for the previous month came in at 2.7%.
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE DECISION. After some weaker-than-expected employment market data in July and August, markets are expecting an almost certain interest rate cut by the FED in September, with some analysts projecting a 0.50% points interest rate cut in September, with more cuts by the end of 2025. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, at least two more interest rate cuts could happen by the end of 2025, with a third one remaining a possibility.
ANALYST OPINION:
- GOLDMAN SACHS: THE BANK MAINTAINED GOLD PRICE TARGETS AT $3,700 END-2025 AND $4,000 MID-2026. THE BANK SAID A $5000 PRICE TARGET FOR GOLD COULD BE POSSIBLE IF THE US FEDERAL RESERVE INDEPENDENCE IS FURTHER DAMAGED
- BANK OF AMERICA: ANALYSTS EXPECT GOLD TO REACH A RECORD $4,000 BY THE FIRST HALF OF 2026.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND PRICE ACTION:
- LONG–TERM UPTREND: Gold price has steadily kept above its long-term dark blue trendline, indicating that the price is in an uptrend since at least January 2025. The prices could also move in the opposite direction if the price falls below the long–term trendline.
- GOLD PRICE ABOVE ITS MOVING AVERAGES: Gold price has remained above its 100-, 50-, and 20-day moving averages, indicating a potential uptrend. The trend could reverse if Gold goes below these averages.
GRAPH (Daily): January 2025 – September 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GOLD, SEPTEMBER 08, 2025.
Current Price: 3,611
|
GOLD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
4,000 |
|
|
3,800 |
|
|
3,700 |
|
|
3,550 |
|
|
3,525 |
|
|
3,500 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
GOLD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
38,900 |
18,900 |
8,900 |
-6,100 |
-8,600 |
-11,100 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
33,169 |
16,115 |
7,589 |
-5,201 |
-7,333 |
-9,465 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
28,789 |
13,988 |
6,587 |
-4,515 |
-6,365 |
-8,215 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
53,756 |
26,118 |
12,299 |
-8,430 |
-11,884 |
-15,339 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT+1) 08/09/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.