Nvidia (#NVDA) Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
THE COMPANY:
- NVIDIA develops and produces three-dimensional graphics processors and other related software. The company also produces graphics processing units, which are critical components when developing artificial intelligence and self-driving autonomous vehicles.
- STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION (USA100, USA500, USA30): NVIDIA stock belongs to the three most important US stock indices, including the NASDAQ 100 (USA100) index, the S&P 500 (USA500) index, and the DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL 30 (USA30).
- NVIDIA’S LATEST PRODUCT PIPELINE FOR THE AI CHIP SECTOR: Nvidia plans to release a new family of AI chips yearly. The current pipeline includes the Blackwell chip, released in 2024; The Blackwell Ultra, set for release by the end of 2025; The Rubin chip, set for 2026; and the Rubin Ultra, set for 2027.
NVIDIA: FINANCIALS
- LAST TIME (MAY 28, 2025): Q1 EARNINGS REPORT. REVENUE (BEAT): $44.06 billion vs. $43.31 billion expected. EARNINGS PER SHARE (BEAT): $0.96 vs. $0.93 expected. Revenue rose 69% in the quarter from $26 billion a year earlier. FORWARD GUIDANCE (Q2): Nvidia said it expects about $45 billion in sales in the current quarter, which would be a new record high despite China A.I. chip setbacks.
NVIDIA: NEWS
- BREAKING (JUNE 25): NVIDIA ONCE AGAIN BECAME THE LARGEST AND MOST VALUABLE COMPANY IN THE WORLD, WITH MARKET CAPITALIZATION OF $3.77 TRILLION. Microsoft is second on the list ($3.66 Trillion), while Apple slipped to third place ($3.01 Trillion). Amazon is fourth ($2.180 Trillion), and Google is fifth ($2.010 Trillion).
- NVIDIA DEALS IN THE MIDDLE EAST (MAY 14 – MAY 16): CEO JENSEN HUANG JOINED US PRESIDENT TRUMP IN SAUDI ARABIA AND U.A.E. SAUDI ARABIA: According to Reuters, Nvidia said it will sell hundreds of thousands of AI chips in Saudi Arabia, with a first tranche of 18,000 of its newest "Blackwell" chips going to Humain, an AI startup just launched by Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund. U.A.E.: The United Arab Emirates and the United States have signed an agreement for the Gulf country to build the largest artificial intelligence campus outside the United States. The UAE could be allowed to import between 500,000 and 1,000,000 of Nvidia's most advanced AI chips per year starting in 2025.
- THE MAJORITY OF NVIDIA`S REVENUE COMES FROM ITS DATA CENTER BUSINESS: Nvidia generated more than $44 billion in revenue during first quarter, with $39.1 billion of that total coming from its data center business alone.
- NVIDIA`S AUTOMOTIVE REVENUE COULD TRIPLE DURING 2026: During the first quarter, the automotive segment generated $567 million in revenue, accounting for just 1.3% of the company's total. However, earlier this year Jensen Huang said Nvidia's automotive revenue could come in at $5 billion for the whole of 2026, which would be a whopping 194% increase from its 2025 result of $1.7 billion. But that's not all, because car manufacturers are starting to invest heavily in Nvidia's other products to customize and refine their self-driving offering in order to stand out from the competition.
NVIDIA: MARKET SHARE
- NVIDIA HOLDS AROUND 80% OF A.I. CHIP INDUSTRY. Mizuho Securities estimates that Nvidia controls between 70% and 95% of the market for AI chip, while Nasdaq.com reported that Nvidia holds 80% market share. Other rivals such as AMD, Intel, Broadcom, Alphabet or Amazon seem to be still far behind Nvidia.
NVIDIA: PRICE ACTION
- ANALYST OPINION: Wells Fargo forecasts $185, JPMorgan forecasts $170, Morgan Stanley forecasts $160, Wedbush forecasts $175, Barclays forecasts $155.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- UPTREND CHANNEL: As depicted by the daily chart below, the Nvidia has kept trading within the longer-term black- lined uptrend channel, confirming its longer-term trend is up.
- WEEKLY MOVING AVERAGES POINT TO AN UPTREND: NVIDIA stock prices have recently traded above the 20- and 50- Daily Moving Averages, pointing to an ongoing uptrend. However, stock prices can also change their trend, if prices fall below the 20- and 50- Daily Moving Averages.
- NVIDIA HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $154.10 ON JUNE 25, 2024. The stock currently trades at $153.80.
GRAPH (Daily): April 2025– June 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
#NVDA, June 26, 2025
Current Price: 154
NVIDIA |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
184 |
|
174 |
|
163 |
|
145 |
|
140 |
|
135 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
NVIDIA |
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
30,000 |
20,000 |
9,000 |
-9,000 |
-14,000 |
-19,000 |
Profit or loss in €2 |
25,554 |
17,036 |
7,666 |
-7,666 |
-11,925 |
-16,184 |
Profit or loss in £2 |
21,802 |
14,534 |
6,540 |
-6,540 |
-10,174 |
-13,808 |
Profit or loss in C$2 |
41,048 |
27,365 |
12,314 |
-12,314 |
-19,156 |
-25,997 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:45 (GMT+1) 26/06/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.