Nvidia (#NVDA) Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
THE COMPANY:
- NVIDIA develops and produces three-dimensional graphics processors and other related software. The company also produces graphics processing units, which are critical components when developing artificial intelligence and self-driving autonomous vehicles.
- STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION (USA100, USA500, USA30): NVIDIA stock belongs to the three most important US stock indices, including the NASDAQ 100 (USA100) index, the S&P 500 (USA500) index, and the DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL 30 (USA30).
- NVIDIA’S LATEST PRODUCT PIPELINE FOR THE AI CHIP SECTOR: Nvidia plans to release a new family of AI chips yearly. The current pipeline includes the Blackwell chip, released in 2024; The Blackwell Ultra, set for release by the end of 2025; The Rubin chip, set for 2026; and the Rubin Ultra, set for 2027.
NVIDIA: MARKET SHARE
- NVIDIA HOLDS AROUND 80% OF THE AI CHIP INDUSTRY. Mizuho Securities estimates that Nvidia controls between 70% and 95% of the market for AI chips, while Nasdaq.com reported that Nvidia holds 80% market share. Other rivals such as AMD, Intel, Broadcom, Alphabet, or Amazon seem to be still far behind Nvidia.
NVIDIA: FINANCIALS
- EVENT (WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 27, AFTERMARKET): Q2 EARNINGS REPORT. Nvidia is expected to print $45.82 billion in revenue (a new record high), up 52.5% from the same period last year ($30.04 billion). Nvidia is expected to print $24.58 billion in net income (a new record high), up around 48% from the same period last year ($16.582 billion). FORWARD GUIDANCE (Q3): The company is expected to project revenue figures of $52.48 billion, up 49.6% from a year ago, and net income of $29.124 billion, up 50.3% from a year ago.
- STATISTIC (LAST 8 QUARTERS): HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE SHOWS THAT NVIDIA TENDS TO BEAT ANALYSTS’ EXPECTATIONS. Nvidia has beaten revenue estimates 8 times over the past 8 quarters and has managed to beat Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates 8 times over the past 8 quarters.
- LAST TIME (Q1 EARNINGS RELEASED ON MAY 28, 2025): Nvidia’s Q1 results exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching $44.06 billion (vs. $43.31 billion expected); Earnings Per Share came in at $0.96 (vs. $0.93 expected).
Source: Bloomberg Terminal
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
NVIDIA: NEWS
- BREAKING (AUGUST 10): NVIDIA TO RESUME SUPPLYING A.I. CHIPS TO CHINA. The decision comes after the initial ban in April 2025, which cost Nvidia more than $8 billion. Analysts believe that sales from supplying A.I. chips to China can reach $30 billion per year. Nvidia has agreed to give the U.S. government 15% of revenue from sales to China of advanced computer chips like Nvidia's H20 that are used for artificial intelligence applications.
NVIDIA: PRICE ACTION
- ANALYST OPINION: Citigroup forecasts $190; Jefferies forecasts $200; Barclays forecasts $200; Truist Securities forecasts $210; Piper Sandler forecast $225. Goldman Sachs forecasts $200.
- BREAKING (AUGUST 13): NVIDIA HIT A FRESH ALL-TIME HIGH ($183.51). NVIDIA's stock price has risen around 35% since the start of the year, and it has risen around 115% since early April 2025, when US President Donald Trump suspended their reciprocal tariffs for the next 90 days. However, the price could also decline.
- NVIDIA: THE MOST VALUABLE COMPANY IN THE WORLD. Nvidia has recently become the most valuable company in the world, worth more than $4 trillion. Meanwhile, Nvidia has become the first company to ever reach a valuation higher than $4 trillion.
#NVDA, August 14, 2025.
Current Price: 181
NVIDIA |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
220 |
|
210 |
|
195 |
|
170 |
|
167 |
|
165 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
NVIDIA |
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
39,000 |
29,000 |
14,000 |
-11,000 |
-14,000 |
-16,000 |
Profit or loss in €2 |
33,395 |
24,832 |
11,988 |
-9,419 |
-11,988 |
-13,701 |
Profit or loss in £2 |
28,738 |
21,369 |
10,316 |
-8,106 |
-10,316 |
-11,790 |
Profit or loss in C$2 |
53,739 |
39,960 |
19,291 |
-15,157 |
-19,291 |
-22,047 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:00 (GMT+1) 14/08/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.