Nvidia (#NVDA) Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
THE COMPANY:
- NVIDIA develops and produces three-dimensional graphics processors and other related software. The company also produces graphics processing units, which are critical components when developing artificial intelligence and self-driving autonomous vehicles.
- STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION (USA100, USA500, USA30): NVIDIA stock belongs to the three most important US stock indices, including the NASDAQ 100 (USA100) index, the S&P 500 (USA500) index, and the DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL 30 (USA30).
- NVIDIA’S LATEST PRODUCT PIPELINE FOR THE AI CHIP SECTOR: Nvidia plans to release a new family of AI chips yearly. The current pipeline includes the Blackwell chip, released in 2024; The Blackwell Ultra, set for release by the end of 2025; The Rubin chip, set for 2026; and the Rubin Ultra, set for 2027.
NVIDIA: MARKET SHARE
- NVIDIA HOLDS AROUND 80% OF THE AI CHIP INDUSTRY. Mizuho Securities estimates that Nvidia controls between 70% and 95% of the market for AI chips, while Nasdaq.com reported that Nvidia holds 80% market share. Other rivals such as AMD, Intel, Broadcom, Alphabet, or Amazon seem to be still far behind Nvidia.
NVIDIA: FINANCIALS
- EVENT (WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 27, AFTERMARKET): Q2 EARNINGS REPORT. Nvidia is expected to print $46.08 billion in revenue (a new record high), up 53.40% from the same period last year ($30.04 billion). Nvidia is expected to print $24.60 billion in net income (a new record high), up around 48% from the same period last year ($16.582 billion). FORWARD GUIDANCE (Q3): The company is expected to project revenue figures of $53.09 billion, up 51.34% from a year ago and net income of $29.429 billion, up 52% from a year ago.
- STATISTIC (LAST 8 QUARTERS): HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE SHOWS THAT NVIDIA TENDS TO BEAT ANALYSTS’ EXPECTATIONS. Nvidia has beaten revenue estimates 8 times over the past 8 quarters and has managed to beat Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates 8 times over the past 8 quarters.
- LAST TIME (Q1 EARNINGS RELEASED ON MAY 28, 2025): Nvidia’s Q1 results exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching $44.06 billion (vs. $43.31 billion expected); Earnings Per Share came in at $0.96 (vs. $0.93 expected).
Source: Bloomberg Terminal
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
NVIDIA: NEWS
- BREAKING (AUGUST 10): NVIDIA TO RESUME SELLING A.I. CHIPS TO CHINA. The decision comes after the initial ban in April 2025, that cost Nvidia more than $8 billion. Analysts believe that sales from selling A.I. chips to China can reach $30 billion per year. Nvidia have agreed to give the U.S. government 15% of revenue from sales to China of advanced computer chips like Nvidia's H20 that are used for artificial intelligence applications. In addition, the latest reports have also said that Nvidia is reportedly preparing to launch a new A.I. chip for the Chinese markets, which will be able to outperform the existing H20 A.I. models.
NVIDIA: PRICE ACTION
- ANALYST OPINION: Goldman Sachs forecasts $200; Morgan Stanley forecasts $206; Barclays forecasts $200; Wells Fargo forecasts $220; Piper Sandler forecast $225; Cantor Fitzgerald forecasts $240.
- BREAKING (AUGUST 13): NVIDIA HIT A FRESH ALL-TIME HIGH ($183.51). NVIDIA's stock price has risen around 33% since the start of the year, and it has risen around 112% since early April 2025, when US President Donald Trump suspended their reciprocal tariffs for the next 90 days.
- NVIDIA: THE MOST VALUABLE COMPANY IN THE WORLD. Nvidia has become recently the most valuable company in the world, worth more than $4 trillion. Meanwhile, Nvidia has become the first company to ever reach valuation higher than $4 trillion.
#NVDA, August 21, 2025.
Current Price: 175
|
NVIDIA |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
240 |
|
|
210 |
|
|
190 |
|
|
163 |
|
|
160 |
|
|
157 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
NVIDIA |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
65,000 |
35,000 |
15,000 |
-12,000 |
-15,000 |
-18,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
55,773 |
30,032 |
12,871 |
-10,297 |
-12,871 |
-15,445 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
48,322 |
26,020 |
11,151 |
-8,921 |
-11,151 |
-13,382 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
90,212 |
48,576 |
20,818 |
-16,655 |
-20,818 |
-24,982 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:00 (GMT+1) 21/08/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.