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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70.91% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing all your money. Read full risk warning.

Palladium

Special Reports - 18/01/2024

18 January, 2024

The example below uses Contracts For Difference (CFDs). Calculations are only on the price of the specific instrument on the date below and calculations indicate a possible profit or loss. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Palladium weekly special report based On 1.00 Lot Calculation:

PALLADIUM USE AND MARKET SHARE:

  • Palladium is mostly used in catalytic converters by the car industry to reduce harmful gas emission, while tightening regulation is forcing auto makers to put more of Palladium into each vehicle, which in turn could keep demand outlook positive. Palladium has also been used in fuel cells to generate power.

  • MARKET SHARE (PRODUCERS): Russia is the largest producer holding 43% of the markets, while South Africa is the second largest with 33.00% of the markets. Canada is third on the list with 9.5% of the global production.

  • MARKET SHARE (CONSUMERS): China is the largest Palladium consumer with 31%, while Europe and North America (USA) hold 20% each. Japan stands at 11%.

CHINA:

  • NEW STIMULUS PACKAGES IN Q3 AND Q4 OF 2023: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) said it lowered the rate on 401 billion yuan ($55.25 billion) worth of one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans to some financial institutions by 15 basis points to 2.50% from 2.65% previously. The central bank also injected 204 billion yuan through seven-day reverse repos while cutting borrowing costs by 10 basis points to 1.80% from 1.90% previously.

  • CHINA REOPENS ITS ECONOMY (2023): China’s COVID-Zero policy has ended. The Chinese government is no longer ordering lockdowns and quarantines. China’s Vice Premier Liu He said the economy could rise to its pre-COVID growth trends in 2023.

  • CHINA INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION GROWTH RATE AT THE HIGHEST SINCE MARCH 2022. The Chinese industrial production grew by 6.8% in December 2023, marking the biggest growth rate since March 2022 (+7.5%).

PALLADIUM: PRICE ACTION

  • PALLADIUM PRICE ACTIONS after most recent price dips below $1000: The table below shows the Palladium price reaction after testing levels below $1,000 for the first time since 2018.

DATA SOURCE: MetaTrader 4

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

TECHNICAL REVIEW:

  • SUPPORT AREA AT $900-$1000: The area between 900 and 1000 was last time challenged back in November and December 2023.

  • BREAKING: PALLADIUM HAS TESTED ITS LOWEST PRICE SINCE AUGUST 2018 ($901.50).

GRAPH (Weekly): Palladium

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

PALLADIUM, January 18, 2024
Current Price: 930

PALLADIUM

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

2000

Resistance 2

1500

Resistance 1

1000

Support 1

860

Support 2

825

Support 3

800

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

107,000

57,000

7,000

-7,000

-10,500

-13,000

Profit or loss in €2

98,285

52,357

6,430

-6,430

-9,645

-11,941

Profit or loss in £2

84,365

44,942

5,519

-5,519

-8,279

-10,250

Profit or loss in C$2

144,325

76,883

9,442

-9,442

-14,163

-17,535

  1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
  2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:00 (GMT) 18/01/2024

Fortrade recommends the use of Stop-Loss and Take-Profit, please speak to your Senior Account ManagerClient Manager regarding their use.

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.

  • Trailing stop technique can protect the profit – Ask your Senior Account ManagerClient Manager for more details.

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