SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: MIDDLE EAST
- EVENT (THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 26): MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS REMAIN HIGH: THIRD ROUND OF U.S.–IRAN TALKS EXPECTED THIS WEEK. According to CNBC, Oman’s foreign minister confirmed the next round of indirect nuclear negotiations between the U.S. and Iran will take place again in Geneva, mediated by Oman. Core disagreements remain unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment and broader security issues.
- BREAKING (FEBRUARY): U.S. MILITARY BUILD-UP INTENSIFIES IN INTERNATIONAL WATERS NEAR IRAN. The USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier strike group has been redirected from the Caribbean and is expected to join the USS Abraham Lincoln in the Middle East likely by the end of February. This significantly increases U.S. military presence in the region and reinforces pressure on Iran amid ongoing diplomatic tensions.
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT
- EVENT (EXPECTED: THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 26): RUSSIA-UKRAINE TALKS MAY RESUME ON THURSDAY IN GENEVA. Peace talks are expected to resume on Thursday in Geneva. Last week, two days of peace talks took place in Geneva, ending without a breakthrough, with President Volodymyr Zelenskiy accusing Moscow of delaying U.S. mediated efforts to end the four-year-old war.
EVENTS:
- TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 24 AT 15:00 GMT: U.S. CB CONSUMER CONFIDENCE (FEBRUARY). Consumer confidence reflects household sentiment and future spending trends. A weaker reading could raise concerns about economic slowdown and increase safe-haven demand for silver.
- WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 25 AT 02:00 GMT: US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP: STATE OF THE UNION ADDRESS. President Trump will address Congress in a key annual political event. Any comments on trade, fiscal policy, foreign affairs, or economic outlook could increase market volatility. Increased uncertainty or geopolitical tensions would likely support safe-haven demand for silver.
- FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 27 AT 13:30 GMT: U.S. PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI) (JANUARY). PPI measures wholesale inflation and provides early signals of price pressures. A softer than expected reading would reinforce expectations of Fed rate cuts, weaken the U.S. dollar, and potentially support silver prices.
SILVER MARKET: HIGHER DEMAND AMID SUPPLY SHORTAGES LEADS TO A WIDENING DEFICIT
- MARKET DEFICIT: SILVER MARKET REMAINS IN DEFICIT SINCE AT LEAST 2016. The silver market faced a deficit of around 300 million ounces in 2025, according to recent reports from The Silver Institute. While the market has been in deficit since 2016, the gap has grown significantly since 2022.
- SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS: SILVER PRODUCTION REMAINS AROUND 800 MILLION OUNCES PER YEAR. Annual production has held near 800 million ounces, remaining largely unchanged since 2016. There is no clear indication that output will be meaningfully higher in 2026 or the following years.
- DEMAND REMAINS STRONG: SOLAR PANELS, ELECTRIC VEHICLES, AND A.I. INFRASTRUCTURE. Silver demand is expected to increase during 2026 and beyond due to rising demand from solar production, electric vehicles, and rapidly expanding A.I. data center infrastructure.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- LONG-TERM TREND IS UP. The overall trend of silver is up (black trendline), with the trend accelerating since November of 2025. Silver rose around 146% in 2025.
- SUPPORT AREA: $70. After the most recent downward price correction in early February, silver prices tested the $70 support zone, which has so far held and triggered a rebound.
- SILVER PRICE HIT A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ON JANUARY 29, 2026 ($121.499). Silver currently trades around $87, and if it fully recovers to its previous all-time high, it could see an upside of around $34. However, the price could also decline.
- ANALYSTS’ OPINION: Citigroup forecasts $150.
GRAPH (Daily): August 2025 – February 2026
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
SILVER, February 24, 2026
Current Price: 87.30
|
SILVER |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
150 |
|
|
120 |
|
|
100 |
|
|
75 |
|
|
73 |
|
|
70 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
SILVER |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
627,000 |
327,000 |
127,000 |
-123,000 |
-143,000 |
-173,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
531,928 |
277,417 |
107,743 |
-104,350 |
-121,317 |
-146,768 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
464,513 |
242,258 |
94,088 |
-91,125 |
-105,942 |
-128,167 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
858,727 |
447,853 |
173,937 |
-168,458 |
-195,850 |
-236,937 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:40 (GMT) 24/02/2026
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.