USD/CAD weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
CENTRAL BANK MEETINGS: CANADA AND USA
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17, AT 14:45 GMT+1: BANK OF CANADA INTEREST RATE DECISION. PRESS CONFERENCE AT 15:30 GMT+1. An interest rate cut from the current 2.75% to 2.50% by the Bank of Canada is expected on Wednesday. However, if the Bank announces a tighter monetary policy in the near future or a pause in the interest rate cuts for the foreseeable future, it could create negative pressures for the USDCAD pair.
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE CUT DECISION. PRESS CONFERENCE AT 19:30 GMT+1. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to be cut to 4.25% on Wednesday, September 17, 2025. The Federal Reserve faces growing pressure to ease policy as the U.S. labor market shows clear signs of weakness. This could put negative pressure on the US dollar and, in turn, create negative pressures for the USDCAD.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- DAILY MOVING AVERAGES POINT TO DOWNTREND: USD/CAD has recently traded below the 20, 50, and 100 – Weekly Moving Averages, pointing to an ongoing downtrend. However, USD/CAD could also change its trend if prices rise above the 20, 50, or 100 – Weekly Moving Averages.
- LONG-TERM RESISTANCE LEVEL: The red-lined resistance level at 1.3830 has been tested 7 times in the last three years, with the currency pair retreating lower after touching this resistance level.
GRAPH (Weekly): January 2022 – September 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
USD/CAD September 16, 2025.
Current Price: 1.3750
|
USD/CAD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1.4000 |
|
|
1.3950 |
|
|
1.3890 |
|
|
1.3600 |
|
|
1.3400 |
|
|
1.3200 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
USD/CAD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
-1,819 |
-1,455 |
-1,018 |
1,091 |
2,546 |
4,001 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
-1,541 |
-1,233 |
-863 |
924 |
2,157 |
3,390 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
-1,334 |
-1,067 |
-747 |
800 |
1,867 |
2,934 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
-2,500 |
-2,000 |
-1,400 |
1,500 |
3,500 |
5,500 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 13:15 (GMT+1) 16/09/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.