USD/JPY Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
CENTRAL BANKS' INTEREST RATE DECISIONS: US FEDERAL RESERVE & BANK OF JAPAN
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE CUT DECISION. PRESS CONFERENCE AT 19:30 GMT+1. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to be cut to 4.25% on Wednesday, September 17, 2025. The Federal Reserve faces growing pressure to ease policy as the U.S. labor market shows clear signs of weakness. This could put negative pressure on the US dollar.
- FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 19 AT 04:00 GMT+1: BANK OF JAPAN INTEREST RATE DECISION. PRESS CONFERENCE AT 07:30 GMT+1. With the Bank of Japan’s base rate currently at 0.50%, investors expect no changes on Friday. However, markets still anticipate rate hikes to take place at the coming meetings.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- DOWNTREND CHANNEL: As depicted by the weekly chart below, the USDJPY has kept trading within the longer-term green-lined downtrend channel, confirming its longer-term trend is down.
- WEEKLY MOVING AVERAGES POINT TO DOWNTREND: USDJPY has recently traded below the 50- and 100-week moving Averages, pointing to an ongoing downtrend. However, USDJPY can also change its trend if prices rise above the 50- and 100-week moving Averages.
- 14- WEEK RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX (RSI) STAYS BELOW 50: The chart below shows that the 14-week relative strength index (RSI) remains in a downtrend, floating below the break-even point of 50, towards the limit of 30.
GRAPH (Weekly): August 2024 – September 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
USDJPY, September 17, 2025.
Current Price: 146.60
|
USD/JPY |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
148.50 |
|
|
148.30 |
|
|
148.00 |
|
|
145.00 |
|
|
144.50 |
|
|
144.00 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
USD/JPY |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
-1,296 |
-1,159 |
-955 |
1,091 |
1,432 |
1,773 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
-1,094 |
-979 |
-806 |
922 |
1,210 |
1,498 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
-951 |
-851 |
-700 |
801 |
1,051 |
1,301 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
-1,783 |
-1,595 |
-1,314 |
1,501 |
1,971 |
2,440 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100.000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 8:50 (GMT+1) 17/9/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.