Natural Gas weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- BREAKING (AUGUST 4): NATURAL GAS PRICES TESTED THEIR LOWEST LEVELS SINCE NOVEMBER 2024 ($2.891)
- STRONG SUPPORT AT: $3. Natural Gas prices have tested the mark of $3 or near 6 times since November 2024.
- STATISTICS (NOVEMBER 2024 - AUGUST 2025): NATURAL GAS WOULD RISE ON AVERAGE AROUND 34.32% AFTER TESTING FIRST LEVELS NEAR THE MARK OF $3. According to the table below, Natural Gas prices would see an average price recovery of around 38% after first testing the area near the mark of $3.
GRAPH (Daily): November 2024 – August 2025
- 2024-2025 STATISTICS: NATRUAL GAS TENDS TO RECOVER BY AROUND 34.32% ON AVERAGE AFTER TESTING THE MARK OF $3 OR NEAR IT.
Data Source: Meta Trader 4 Platform
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GEOPOLITICS: TENSIONS RISE BETWEEN THE USA AND RUSSIA
- EVENT (FRIDAY, AUGUST 8): US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP THREATENED 100% TARIFFS ON RUSSIAN GOODS AND 100% SECONDARY TARIFFS FOR COUNTRIES THAT BUY RUSSIAN OIL AND OTHER COMMODITIES IF NO CEASEFIRE DEAL WITH UKRAINE IS REACHED BY FRIDAY, AUGUST 8. According to Reuters, Trump gave the Russian president a new deadline to make peace or face 100% tariffs on Russian goods, and more importantly, 100% sweeping secondary tariffs, implying that trade sanctions would be imposed on countries that continue importing Russian oil and other commodities.
RUSSIAN NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION: Russia produces around 17% of total natural gas production in the world, making it the 2nd largest natural gas producer in the world after the USA.
RUSSIAN NATURAL GAS EXPORTS: Russia is the second largest natural gas exporter (including both pipeline and Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) exports) in the world, responsible for around 15% of total global exports in the world.
EVENTS:
- THURSDAY, AUGUST 7 AT 15:30 GMT+1: ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION (EIA) NATURAL GAS INVENTORY DATA (USA). If data showed a declining inventory for the past week, then positive support for the natural gas price could be expected. However, the price could decline.
Natural Gas, August 5, 2025.
Current Price: 2.950
|
Natural Gas |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
4.500 |
|
|
4.000 |
|
|
3.400 |
|
|
2.600 |
|
|
2.500 |
|
|
2.400 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
Natural Gas |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
15,500 |
10,500 |
4,500 |
-3,500 |
-4,500 |
-5,500 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
13,441 |
9,105 |
3,902 |
-3,035 |
-3,902 |
-4,769 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
11,679 |
7,912 |
3,391 |
-2,637 |
-3,391 |
-4,144 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
21,395 |
14,494 |
6,212 |
-4,831 |
-6,212 |
-7,592 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 13:30 (GMT+1) 05/08/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop techniques could protect the profit.