NETFLIX (#NFLX) weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
NETFLIX: THE COMPANY
- NETFLIX is one of the world's leading streaming services, with over 300 million paid subscribers in over 190 countries. In the last 2 years, the company made a number of impactful changes and moves, like an increase in third-party licensing, a new ad plan membership, and success in cracking down on password-sharing issues.
- STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION: Netflix stock is a part of the NASDAQ 100 (USA 100) index, and S&P 500 (USA500).
NETFLIX: EVENTS
- EVENT (THURSDAY, JULY 17, AFTERMARKET): Q2 EARNINGS REPORT. The company is expected to print $11.036 billion in revenue (a new record high), up around 15.45% from the same period last year ($9.56 billion). The company is expected to report a net income of $3.13 billion, up around 4.81% from the same period last year ($2.11 billion). FORWARD GUIDANCE (Q3): The company is expected to project $11.254 billion for Q3 of 2025.
- REVENUE AND EARNINGS PERFORMANCE: NETFLIX TENDS TO BEAT ESTIMATES. Over the past eight quarters, the company has beat Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates 8 times over the past 8 quarters, while its revenue has managed to beat estimates 7 times over the past 8 quarters.
- LAST TIME (Q4 EARNINGS RELEASED ON APRIL 17, 2025, AFTERMARKET): Netflix reported a higher-than-expected revenue figures ($10.54 million vs. $10.52 million expected) and better-than-expected Earnings Per Share figures ($6.61 vs. $5.71 expcted).
- STATISTICS (SINCE THE A.I. BOOM BEGAN IN Q3 2022): NETFLIX STOCK PRICE ROSE ON AVERAGE 7.31% WITHIN A WEEK AFTER THE QUARTERLY EARNINGS RELEASE.
Data Source: Bloomberg Terminal
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
NETFLIX: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- UPTREND CHANNEL: The Neflix stock price has been maintaining its uptrend since early April 2025, as depicted by the daily chart below.
- NETFLIX STOCK HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH $1,338.96 (JULY 1, 2025).
GRAPH (Daily): January 2025 – July 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
NETFLIX: ANALYST OPINION
- ANALYST OPINION: Rosenblatt Securities forecasts $1514; CANACORD forecasts $1525; Wells Fargo forecasts $1500; Jefferies forecasts $1400; Wedbush forecasts $1400; Morgan Stanley forecasts $1150.
#NFLX, July 7, 2025
Current Price: 1284
|
NETFLIX |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1600 |
|
|
1500 |
|
|
1380 |
|
|
1190 |
|
|
1150 |
|
|
1100 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
NETFLIX |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
316,000 |
216,000 |
96,000 |
-94,000 |
-134,000 |
-184,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
269,562 |
184,258 |
81,892 |
-80,186 |
-114,308 |
-156,960 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
232,772 |
159,110 |
70,716 |
-69,242 |
-98,707 |
-135,538 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
432,323 |
295,512 |
131,339 |
-128,602 |
-183,327 |
-251,732 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT+1) 07/07/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.