SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT
- BREAKING (OCTOBER 17): RUSSIA-UKRAINE PEACE DEAL STILL FAR AWAY DESPITE U.S. PRESIDENT TRUMP-UKRAINIAN PRESIDENT ZELENSKY MEETING. According to the Financial Times, Trump pressed Zelensky to accept Russian President Vladimir Putin’s terms for ending the war, terms that essentially amount to Ukrainian surrender and include a full withdrawal from the territories still held by Ukraine in the Donbas region. President Zelensky has repeatedly said that they will not give up territories, which lowers the chances for a potential peace deal.
- BREAKING (OCTOBER 20): PLANNED MEETING BETWEEN U.S. SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO AND RUSSIA FOREIGN MINISTER SERGEI LAVROV FOR THIS WEEK PUT ON HOLD? According to CNN, the anticipated meeting between Rubio and his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov has been put on hold for the time being, a White House official told CNN. The meeting between the two was supposed to take place on Thursday, October 23.
USA: GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN ENTERED ITS 21st DAY (October 21, 2025)
- BREAKING (WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 1 AT 05:00 AM GMT+1): US GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN BEGAN WITH NO DEAL IN SIGHT. According to Reuters, U.S. President Donald Trump and his Democratic opponents made no progress in ending the government shutdown. Without passage of funding legislation, parts of the government have remained closed since Wednesday (October 1).
EVENTS
- FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US INFLATION (CPI) (SEPTEMBER). Despite the ongoing US government shutdown, latest reports have said that US inflation data could still be released, with the office workers expected to work harder to get the data out. Headline inflation is expected to see a rise in September to 3.1% from the previous 2.9%. Core Inflation is expected to remain unchanged at 3.1%.
US FEDERAL RESERVE:
- BREAKING (SEPTEMBER 17): US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT INTEREST RATE TO 4.25% FROM 4.50%, ITS FIRST INTEREST RATE CUT SINCE DECEMBER 2024. The Federal Reserve policymakers said they expect to see 2 more rate cuts by the end of 2025, to slash current rates to 3.75%.
- NEXT FEDERAL RESERVE MEETING AND INTEREST RATE DECISION: October 29. Interest rates are expected to be further cut to 4.00%.
- DECEMBER 10: The US Federal Reserve is expected to finish the year 2025 by cutting the rates to 3.75% on December 10.
PRICE ACTION:
- ANALYSTS’ OPINION: CITIGROUP forecasts $55; UBS forecasts $55; BANK OF AMERICA forecasts $65. ANZ forecasts $57.5.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- SUPPORT AREA: $49 - $47. After breaking back below the mark of $50, silver prices see the area defined by $49 - $47 as their next support.
- UPTREND IN 2025: After the March-April price pullback, silver prices have reinstated their uptrend, as depicted by the daily chart below and the solid black uptrend line on the same chart. Since the beginning of 2025, the silver price has been rising solidly, hitting a fresh all-time high in October ($54.454), marking an increase of around 88%. However, the price can also decline.
GRAPH (Daily): April 2025 – October 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
Silver, October 21, 2025.
Current Price: 49.50
|
Silver |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
57.50 |
|
|
55.00 |
|
|
52.00 |
|
|
47.50 |
|
|
47.25 |
|
|
47.00 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
SILVER |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
80,000 |
55,000 |
25,000 |
-20,000 |
-22,500 |
-25,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
68,819 |
47,313 |
21,506 |
-17,205 |
-19,355 |
-21,506 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
59,779 |
41,098 |
18,681 |
-14,945 |
-16,813 |
-18,681 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
112,480 |
77,330 |
35,150 |
-28,120 |
-31,635 |
-35,150 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:30 (GMT+1) 21/10/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.