Tesla (#TSLA) weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
TESLA: THE COMPANY
- MAIN BUSINESS: Tesla produces several Electric Vehicles (EVs), including the Model 3, Model X, Model Y, Model S, and, since recently, the Cybertruck. Tesla also delivers the Semi-Truck. On October 7, 2025, Tesla introduced cheaper and affordable Model Y and Model 3 models, which will start delivering in Q4 2025.
- OTHER PROJECTS: Robotaxi, Optimus Humanoid Robots, Artificial Intelligence Technology and Platforms, Megapack Batteries, and all as part of Tesla’s Master Plan 4.
- STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION: Tesla stock is part of both the NASDAQ 100 (USA100) index and the S&P 500 (USA500) index.
TESLA: EVENTS
- EVENT (FIRST WEEK OF JANUARY 2026): TESLA Q4 2025 CAR DELIVERY DATA. Tesla is expected to print Q4 car delivery data. According to Bloomberg, Estimates go as high as 524.500 cars delivered, which, if realized, would represent a rise of 5.5% compared to the previous quarter and rise of 6% compared to the same quarter in the previous year. It would be the highest ever quarterly car delivery in Tesla’s history
TESLA:
- BREAKING (NOVEMBER 6): SHAREHOLDERS APPROVED THE NEW COMPENSATION PLAN FOR CEO ELON MUSK.
THE PLAN: According to Reuters, CEO Elon Musk's ownership would increase from about 15% to 25%, adding more than 423 million shares to his holdings. The pay package for Musk, already the world’s richest person, consists of 12 tranches of shares to be granted if Tesla hits certain milestones over the next decade.
TRANCHES: The first tranche of stock gets paid out if Tesla hits a market capitalization of $2 trillion. Tesla’s current market cap is $1.50 trillion. The next nine tranches would be awarded if Tesla’s value increases by increments of $500 billion, up to $6.5 trillion. Musk would earn the last two tranches if the market cap rises by increments of $1 trillion, meaning it would need to hit $8.5 trillion for Musk to get the full package. If no changes are assumed and the outstanding number of stocks remains near 3.3 billion, the $8.5 trillion market cap would require a price per share of around $2,600.
CONDITIONS: To achieve his 12-tranche pay plan, CEO Elon Musk and Tesla must first deliver a total of 20 million electric vehicles. So far, the company has delivered around 8 million EVs. In addition, Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscriptions need to reach 10 million. Success is also required in the Robotaxi project, with the company expected to operate 1 million robotaxis commercially. Finally, deliveries of Optimus Humanoid Robots should reach 1 million units.
TESLA: THE A.I. APPROACH
- TESLA PLANS TO BUILD ITS OWN A.I. CHIPS AND FACTORY? Tesla plans to build a massive AI chip manufacturing facility to secure semiconductor independence. Earlier, Musk also hinted at AI5 chip development in partnership with Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung. Tesla currently uses the AI4 generation. AI5 could arrive in 2026, while the AI6 generation is expected by mid-2028.
- xAI: Meanwhile, Tesla and xAI could be moving toward convergence. xAI, an AI startup developing the AI model Grok, could soon collaborate with Tesla on AI initiatives.
TESLA: NEWS
- BREAKING (DECEMBER 02): TESLA ADVANCES SALES IN CHINA. Tesla EV sales in China have risen 9.9% in November 2025, compared to the previous year according to the China Passenger Car Association.
- BREAKING (DECEMBER 03): US GOVERNMENT SUPPORTS ROBOTICS. Tesla is set to benefit given its production of Optimus robots. The Trump administration is planning to accelerate development of the robotics industry.
TESLA: PRICE ACTION
- TESLA STOCK PRICE HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH IN LATE 2024: $487.99. The current stock price is around $448, and if the price moves to its recent all-time high levels, this would be a price change of around 9%. However, the price could decline as well.
- ANALYSTS’ OPINION: Wedbush Dan Ives forecasts $600; Baird forecasts $548; Melius Research forecasts $525; Piper Sandler forecasts $500; RBC Capital forecasts $500; Cantor Fitzgerald forecasts $510; Deutsche Bank forecasts $470.
#TSLA, December 04, 2025.
Current Price: 448
|
Tesla |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
550 |
|
|
520 |
|
|
480 |
|
|
420 |
|
|
410 |
|
|
400 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
Tesla |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
102,000 |
72,000 |
32,000 |
-28,000 |
-38,000 |
-48,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
87,451 |
61,730 |
27,436 |
-24,006 |
-32,580 |
-41,153 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
76,466 |
53,976 |
23,989 |
-20,991 |
-28,487 |
-35,984 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
142,525 |
100,606 |
44,714 |
-39,124 |
-53,097 |
-67,070 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 13:00 (GMT) 04/12/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.