GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
US FEDERAL RESERVE:
- NEXT MEETING: WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 10 AT 19:00 GMT. The meeting will be followed by a press conference at 19:30 GMT. The US Federal Reserve is expected to finish the year 2025 by cutting the rates to 3.75% on December 10. In this meeting, a dot plot projection for the near future will be published. If more interest rate cuts are anticipated for 2026, it could prove supportive for gold prices.
- BREAKING (OCTOBER 29): US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT INTEREST RATE TO 4.00% FROM 4.25%. The Fed cut rates again in October after the one earlier in September. In total, this year, rates have fallen from 4.50% to the current 4.00%.
- LAST TIME: Following the last two interest rate cuts (September and October 2025) by the FED, Gold rose on average 4.53% after ten days and 10.79% after one month.
Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA – UKRAINE
- EVENT (EXPECTED: TUESDAY, DECEMBER 9): UKRAINIAN PRESIDENT ZELENSKY WILL SHARE HIS PROPOSAL WITH THE US. A breakdown in Russia–Ukraine talks could result in rising geopolitical tension and a positive upswing for the price of gold. Ukraine will share its revised plan with the U.S.; however, we still see no agreement concerning territory concessions, with both the Russians and Ukrainians not willing to compromise. President Trump said that he was disappointed with Zelensky, accusing him of not having read the latest proposals backed by the US.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND ANALYSTS’ OPINION:
- GOLD TRADING ABOVE MOVING AVERAGES. Gold has kept steady above its 20 -, 50 -, and 100-Day moving averages, pointing to an uptrend.
- TECHNICAL SUPPORT: $4,100 - 4,000. Over the past month, after the most recent decline in gold prices, gold prices have tried to maintain near-term support between $4,100 and $4,000, an area that has been tested several times since late October 2025.
- GOLD PRICE HIT A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ON OCTOBER 20, 2025 ($4,381.34). Since the beginning of 2025, the gold price has been rising solidly, hitting a fresh all-time high in October ($4,381.34), marking an increase of around 67%. However, the price could also decline.
- ANALYSTS’ OPINION: Bank of America forecasts $5,000; Societe Generale forecasts $5,000; Standard Chartered forecasts $4,500; Goldman Sachs forecasts $4,900; J.P. Morgan forecasts $5,055; Morgan Stanley forecasts $4,400; HSBC forecasts $5,000; Deutsche Bank forecasts $4,450.
GRAPH (Daily): June 2025 – December 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GOLD, December 09, 2025.
Current Price: 4,196
|
GOLD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
4,500 |
|
|
4,400 |
|
|
4,300 |
|
|
4,100 |
|
|
4,075 |
|
|
4,050 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
GOLD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
30,400 |
20,400 |
10,400 |
-9,600 |
-12,100 |
-14,600 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
26,098 |
17,513 |
8,928 |
-8,242 |
-10,388 |
-12,534 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
22,770 |
15,280 |
7,790 |
-7,191 |
-9,063 |
-10,936 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
42,073 |
28,233 |
14,393 |
-13,286 |
-16,746 |
-20,206 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT) 09/12/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.