Alibaba (#ALIBABA) weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
ALIBABA: ABOUT THE COMPANY
- Alibaba Group Holding Ltd is a leading global technology company specializing in e-commerce, cloud computing, and digital services. Its platforms include Taobao, Tmall, Alibaba.com, AliExpress, Lazada, Cainiao, and Alibaba Cloud, serving customers worldwide. The company focuses on user growth in e-commerce and is investing heavily in AI and cloud infrastructure to drive long-term growth.
- ALIBABA STOCK is included in several major global indices, most notably China’s main index, the Hang Seng (HK50), as well as the Hang Seng TECH Index.
E-COMMERCE: THE INDUSTRY
- THE GLOBAL E-COMMERCE MARKET IS EXPECTED TO TOTAL $6.9 TRILLIONS IN 2025. The global e-commerce market is projected to be worth $6.9 trillion this year, up from $6.3 trillion in 2024, opening up further opportunities for businesses to reach new customer segments worldwide.
- E-COMMERCE SALES ARE EXPECTED TO GROW 8.4% IN 2025. This growth highlights the increasing consumer preference for online shopping. Businesses that embrace this trend now will be better equipped to thrive in a market that is rapidly moving away from traditional in-store shopping experiences.
- BY 2027, 23% OF RETAIL PURCHASES ARE EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE ONLINE. By 2027, nearly a quarter of all retail purchases are projected to occur online, with the e-commerce market projected to surpass $7.9 trillion.
- E-COMMERCE MARKET SHARE (COUNTRY): China is estimated to claim 52.1% of the global market, USA with 20.1%, UK with 3.4% and Japan with 3.3%. Rest of the world covers 20.7%.
- E-COMMERCE MARKET SHARE (COMPANY): Alibaba (Taobao and Tmall) claimed 25.00%, while Amazon took up 7.8% of the global e-commerce market. JD.com claimed 2.1% of the market.
ALIBABA: EVENTS
- EVENT (THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 25, PREMARKET): Q3 2025 EARNINGS REPORT. Alibaba is expected to print $34.54 billion in revenue for Q3 of 2025. This is an increase of 4.7% from the same period last year ($32.99 billion). The company is also expected to print $1.89 billion in Net Income, which would be an increase of 5.5% from the same period last year. In addition, the company is expected to post Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.89.
- LAST TIME (Q2 EARNINGS RELEASED on AUGUST 29, 2025): Alibaba’s Q2 results exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching $34.26 million, an increase of 1.8% year-over-year, and Earnings Per Share reaching 1.72$.
- STOCK PERFORMANCE ON AUGUST 29, 2025: The stock rose 13.94%, from $119.60 to hit a session high of $136.27. However, the price could go in the opposite direction.
*Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.
JACK MA: RETURN AND STRATEGIC INFLUENCE
- JACK MA: FOUNDER AND VISIONARY LEADER. Jack Ma co-founded Alibaba in 1999 and served as its executive chairman from 1999 until October 10, 2019, building it into one of China’s largest technology conglomerates.
- JACK MA RETURNS TO A VISIBLE ROLE IN 2025. After stepping back following the Ant Group IPO halt and regulatory crackdown in 2020, Jack Ma has become more actively involved in Alibaba’s strategic direction.
- VISITS AND STRATEGY ENGAGEMENT. Ma has been visiting Alibaba campuses, meeting with senior leadership, and influencing decisions on AI, cloud, and e-commerce initiatives, despite holding no official executive title.
- IMPACT ON INVESTOR SENTIMENT. His presence has historically boosted investor confidence and internal morale, often leading to short-term stock rallies whenever he reappears publicly.
ALIBABA: PRICE ACTION
- THE STOCK HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $319.08 (October 27, 2020). The stock price currently trades around $157, and if it fully recovers from its recent all-time highs, it could offer an upside of around 103%. However, the stock price could also decline.
- ANALYSTS OPINIONS: JP Morgan forecasts $235. Deutsche Bank forecasts $220. Jefferies forecasts $223.
#ALIBABA, November 18, 2025.
Current Price: 157
|
Alibaba |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
225 |
|
|
200 |
|
|
175 |
|
|
140 |
|
|
135 |
|
|
130 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
Alibaba |
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|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
68,000 |
43,000 |
18,000 |
-17,000 |
-22,000 |
-27,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
58,721 |
37,132 |
15,544 |
-14,680 |
-18,998 |
-23,316 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
51,719 |
32,705 |
13,690 |
-12,930 |
-16,733 |
-20,536 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
95,462 |
60,366 |
25,269 |
-23,866 |
-30,885 |
-37,904 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:35 (GMT) 18/11/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.