Palladium weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
JACKSON HOLE ECONOMIC SYMPOSIUM (2025):
- EVENT (THURSDAY-SATURDAY, AUGUST 21-AUGUST 23): JACKSON HOLE ECONOMIC SYMPOSIUM 2025. According to Investopedia, the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium is an annual symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City since 1978, and held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming (USA), since 1981. Every year, the symposium focuses on an important economic issue that faces world economies.
- EVENT (FRIDAY, AUGUST 22 AT 15:00 GMT+1): FED CHAIR JEROME POWELL SPEAKS. Since he took office in 2018, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has always delivered a speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium, sending important messages to the markets about the next Fed monetary policy steps. This time, he will speak just about a month ahead of the next, highly anticipated market interest rate cut on September 17, 2025.
LAST TIME (AUGUST 23, 2024): FED CHAIR JEROME POWELL SPOKE AT THE JACKSON HOLE ECONOMIC SYMPOSIUM. Mr. Powell said that Inflation had significantly gone down, implying the Fed's interest rate cut cycle could begin soon. Eventually, after Jerome Powell's speech in August (2024), the Fed started its interest rate cut cycle on September 18, 2024, first lowering rates from their current 5.50% to 5.00%. By the end of 2024, interest rates fell to the current 4.5%.
STATISTICS (2024): PALLADIUM PRICE ROSE 3.83% THE DAY JEROME POWELL SPOKE AT THE JACKSON HOLE SYMPOSIUM (AUGUST 23, 2024). A month after that, palladium prices traded up 16.73%, while two months after the speech, palladium prices traded up 19.33%. In total, since Mr. Powell's speech last year at the Jackson Hole Symposium, palladium prices have risen by around 21.65%.
Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- LONG-TERM UPTREND SINCE APRIL 2025: As shown in the daily chart below, palladium has been in a steady uptrend, supported by a rising diagonal trend line (green) since April 2025. However, the price could decline.
- SUPPORT AREA: $1100 - $1050. Palladium prices have maintained a strong support zone between $1050 and $1100. However, there remains a risk of a potential breakout below this level if market conditions change.
- 14-DAY RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX (RSI) POINTS TO POTENTIAL RECOVERY: According to the daily chart below, the 14-Day RSI is trading near the 30 level, a threshold for an oversold territory, reflecting weaker recent price performance. Therefore, a price recovery could be expected next, although prices could go in the other direction as well.
- PALLADIUM PRICE HAS TESTED ITS LOWEST PRICE IN ALMOST 2 MONTHS ($1090.25): After the most recent pullback of palladium prices, losing more than 19% over the past 28 days, palladium prices have tested their lowest levels in almost two months ($1090.25).
- PALLADIUM HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $3,409 (March 2022): Palladium price has traded around $1110, and if a full recovery takes place, the price of palladium could see an upside of around 207%. Although the price could decline as well.
GRAPH (Daily): February 2025 – August 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
Palladium, August 20, 2025.
Current Price: 1,110
PALLADIUM |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
1,350 |
|
1,250 |
|
1,175 |
|
1,050 |
|
1,040 |
|
1,030 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
PALLADIUM |
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
24,000 |
14,000 |
6,500 |
-6,000 |
-7,000 |
-8,000 |
Profit or loss in €² |
20,597 |
12,015 |
5,578 |
-5,149 |
-6,007 |
-6,866 |
Profit or loss in £² |
17,782 |
10,373 |
4,816 |
-4,446 |
-5,186 |
-5,927 |
Profit or loss in C$² |
33,303 |
19,427 |
9,020 |
-8,326 |
-9,713 |
-11,101 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:30 (GMT+1) 20/08/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.