SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: USA - VENEZUELA CONFLICT
- BREAKING (NOVEMBER 3): U.S. ARMY PREPARES FOR GROUND OPERATIONS IN VENEZUELA AGAINST NARCO-CARTELS AND MADURO’S REGIME AS U.S. ARMY TROOPS INCREASED PRESENCE NEAR THE VENEZUELA COAST. According to Reuters, the USA has increased its naval forces to 16,000 troops, 8 warships, and a nuclear submarine. The aircraft carrier Gerald R. Ford is also moving towards the area. In addition to that, sources with knowledge of the situation told the Miami Herald that the Trump administration has made the decision to attack military installations inside Venezuela, and the strikes could come at any moment.
USA: GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN ENTERED ITS 35 DAY (November 4, 2025)
- BREAKING: THE CURRENT U.S. GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN TO BE THE LONGEST IN HISTORY? According to Reuters, as President Donald Trump rebuffed a request by top Democratic lawmakers to meet until the three-week-old U.S. government shutdown ends, prolonging the saga, the U.S. government Shutdown is entering its 35th day. Without passage of funding legislation and a deal between the Democrats and Republicans in Congress, parts of the government have remained closed since Wednesday (October 1).
EVENTS:
- WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 5 AT 13:15 GMT: US ADP NONFARM EMPLOYMENT CHANGE (PRIVATE SECTOR) (OCTOBER). In the absence of official Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and Unemployment Rate data due to the ongoing government shutdown, markets are expected to rely on the private ADP Nonfarm Employment Change report for October. Last month, the ADP report showed a decline of 32,000 jobs, missing expectations for an increase of 52,000.
US FEDERAL RESERVE:
- BREAKING (OCTOBER 29): US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT INTEREST RATE TO 4.00% FROM 4.25%. The Fed cut rates again in October after the one earlier in September. In total, this year, rates have fallen from 4.50% to the current 4.00%.
- NEXT: DECEMBER 10: The US Federal Reserve is expected to finish the year 2025 by cutting the rates to 3.75% on December 10.
- FED CHAIR JEROME POWELL'S TERM ENDS IN MAY 2026, BUT U.S. PRESIDENT TRUMP MAY ANNOUNCE THE POTENTIAL SUCCESSOR BY THE END OF 2025. The US administration has already announced the 5 candidates that could replace Mr. Powell as the next Fed Chair. According to ABC News, the five people under consideration are: Federal Reserve governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman; former Fed governor Kevin Warsh; White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett; and Rick Rieder, senior managing director at asset manager BlackRock.
PRICE ACTION:
- ANALYSTS’ OPINION: UBS forecasts $55; BANK OF AMERICA forecasts $65. ANZ forecasts $57.5.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- SUPPORT: $46 - $45. After hitting fresh all-time highs ($54.454), silver prices have pulled back towards the new psychological support area between $46 and $45.
- UPTREND SINCE JANUARY 2025: After the March-April price pullback, silver prices have reinstated their uptrend, as depicted by the daily chart below and the solid uptrend line on the same chart. Since the beginning of 2025, the silver price has been rising solidly, hitting a fresh all-time high in October ($54.454), marking an increase of around 88%. However, it could also decline.
GRAPH (Daily): April 2025 – November 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
SILVER, November 4, 2025.
Current Price: 47.80
|
SILVER |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
54.50 |
|
|
52.00 |
|
|
50.00 |
|
|
46.00 |
|
|
45.50 |
|
|
45.00 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
SILVER |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
67,000 |
42,000 |
22,000 |
-18,000 |
-23,000 |
-28,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
58,202 |
36,485 |
19,111 |
-15,636 |
-19,980 |
-24,323 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
51,226 |
32,112 |
16,821 |
-13,762 |
-17,585 |
-21,408 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
94,236 |
59,073 |
30,943 |
-25,317 |
-32,350 |
-39,382 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT) 04/11/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.