Taiwan Semiconductor (#TAIWANSM) Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
CHIP INDUSTRY:
- TAIWAN MARKET SHARE (2024): According to TechInAsia and Wccftech, Taiwan Semiconductor market share was 68% in Q1 2025, followed by Samsung (12%).
THE COMPANY:
- Taiwan Semiconductor is a global leader in semiconductor fabrication and makes the vast majority of the world’s leading-edge logic chips, used in emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence. Its focus on areas such as artificial intelligence and automotive technology positions the company as a strategic partner for innovative companies seeking cutting-edge solutions.
- DEPENDENCE OF LARGE TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES: Nvidia is one of Taiwan Semiconductor´s main customers. Of Taiwan Semiconductor revenues, about 13% are contributed by Nvidia, 22% by Apple, 5.2% by Qualcomm, 4.6% by AMD, 4.3% by Broadcom, 4% by Amazon. In other words, more than 50% of Taiwan Semiconductor´s sales come from large and well-known customers (Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Broadcom, AMD and Qualcomm)
EVENTS:
- EVENT (THURSDAY, JULY 10): JUNE MONTHLY SALES REPORT. Taiwan Semiconductor discloses revenues monthly. April revenue was $11.59 billion, and May came in at $10.71 billion. To meet the Q2 consensus of $32.06 billion, June revenue must reach around US$9.76 billion. Any figure above this would indicate that Taiwan Semiconductor has already beaten revenue expectations ahead of the July 17 earnings release.
- EVENT (THURSDAY, JULY 17, PREMARKET): Q2 EARNINGS REPORT. Taiwan Semiconductor is expected to print $32.06 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2025. This is an increase of 54% from the same period last year ($20.82 billion). In addition, the company is expected to post Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.52, which would be an increase of 69% from the same period last year ($1.49).
- LAST TIME (Q1 EARNINGS RELEASED ON APRIL 17, 2025, PREMARKET): Taiwan Semiconductor reported a higher-than-expected revenue figures ($28.82 billion vs. $28.68 billion expected) and better-than-expected net income figures ($12.42 billion vs. $12.16 billion expected) (Source: CNBC). STOCK PRICE PERFORMANCE (One Week): The Taiwan Semiconductor stock rose 8.88% within a week after the Q1 earnings release date (Source: Bloomberg Terminal).
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- UPTREND CHANNEL: The black uptrend channel depicted by the chart below shows that Taiwan Semiconductor prices have maintained their uptrend in general since April 2025. However, there remains a risk of a potential breakout below this level if market conditions change.
- WEEKLY MOVING AVERAGES POINT TO UPTREND: Taiwan Semiconductor has recently traded above the 20- and 50-week moving averages, pointing to an ongoing uptrend. However, Taiwan Semiconductor can change its trend if prices fall below the 20- and 50-week moving averages.
GRAPH (Weekly): June 2024 – July 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
#TAIWANSM, July 8, 2025.
Current Price: 229
|
TAIWANSM |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
300 |
|
|
270 |
|
|
245 |
|
|
215 |
|
|
210 |
|
|
205 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
TAIWANSM |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
71,000 |
41,000 |
16,000 |
-14,000 |
-19,000 |
-24,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
60,426 |
34,894 |
13,617 |
-11,915 |
-16,170 |
-20,426 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
52,124 |
30,100 |
11,746 |
-10,278 |
-13,949 |
-17,619 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
96,881 |
55,945 |
21,832 |
-19,103 |
-25,926 |
-32,748 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 14:12 (GMT+1) 08/07/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.