CFD-të janë instrumente komplekse dhe vijnë me një rrezik të lartë të humbjes së parave për shkak të levave. 71% e llogarive të investitorëve mund të humbasin paratë kur tregtojnë me kontrata CFD. Duhet të merrni në konsideratë nëse mund të përballoni rrezikun e humbjes së parave tuaja.
CFD-të janë instrumente komplekse dhe vijnë me një rrezik të lartë të humbjes së parave për shkak të levave. 70.91% e llogarive të klientëve me pakicë humbasin para kur bëjnë tregti me CFD. Duhet të merrni parasysh nëse e kuptoni se si fuknsionojnë CFD-të dhe nëse e përballoni dot rrezikun e lartë të humbjes së të gjithë kapitalit që keni investuar.

WHEAT

Raporte Speciale - 03/09/2024

03 Shtator, 2024

Shembulli më poshtë përdor Kontratat për Ndryshim (CFD). Llogaritë janë vetëm për çmimin e instrumenteve specifike për datën e përmendur më poshtë, dhe llogaritë tregojnë rast të mundshëm për fitim apo humbje. Nuk ka garanci për saktësinë apo plotësinë e këtyre informacioneve, dhe çdo person që vepron sipas tyre, e bën këtë tërësisht në rrezik të vet.

WHEAT weekly special report based On 1.00 Lot Calculation:

GLOBAL WHEAT MARKET SHARE:

  • LARGEST WHEAT PRODUCERS (OF TOTAL PRODUCTION EXPECTED IN 2023/2024: 786.67 MILLION TONES): China at 17%, European Union at ~17%, India at ~14%, Russia at ~12%, USA at ~6% and Ukraine ~3%.
  • LARGEST WHEAT EXPORTERS OF TOTAL 216 MILLION TONS (2023/2024): Russia at 12.68%, Australia at 11.85%, USA at 11.11%, Ukraine at 8.9% and France at 7.45%.
  • RUSSIA + UKRAINE SHARE at ~21.58%: Russia and Ukraine make more than 20% of total global exports.

FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:

  • MONTHLY WASDE REPORT (USA) (AUGUST 12): Wheat output in the US is expected to rise by 133 million bushels to 2,0008 million bushels, while exports are expected to rise by 25 million bushels to 825 million bushels. In addition to that, the US Department of Agriculture raised its 2024/2025 expectations for the ending stock by 98 million bushels to 856 million bushels. This could be the highest since the 2019/2020 season.
  • NEXT WASDE REPORT: September 12,2024.

RECENT PRICE ACTION:

  • WHEAT PRICES HAVE HAD A DOWNWARD CORRECTION OF AROUND 30% (FROM $719.5 ON MAY 28, 2024 TO $501 ON AUGUST 23, 2024). In May 2024, the Wheat prices rose to its highest in ten months ($719.50). Wheat traded last around $550, and if a full recovery happens, it could provide an upside potential of around 30%. However, the price could decline further.
  • STRONG SUPPORT AT $520: Since 2020, Wheat has been predominantly trading above the mark of $520. Wheat has tested the area around $520 six times since 2020, and every time it would recover to levels toward 600 or above. (Data Source: Fortrade Meta Trader 4 Platform)

GRAPH (Weekly): February 2020 – September 2024

*Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

WHEAT, September 3, 2023
Current Price: 545

Wheat

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

700

Resistance 2

650

Resistance 1

600

Support 1

500

Support 2

490

Support 3

480

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1

WHEAT

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

15,500

10,500

5,500

-4,500

-5,500

-6,500

Profit or loss in €2

14,031

9,505

4,979

-4,073

-4,979

-5,884

Profit or loss in £2

11,813

8,002

4,192

-3,429

-4,192

-4,954

Profit or loss in C$2

20,906

14,162

7,418

-6,069

-7,418

-8,767

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:30 (GMT+1) 03/09/2024

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
  • Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.

Fortrade Ltd is authorised and regulated in the UK by FCA under the licence number 609970.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

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Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70.91% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd is regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20. CFD products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

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