EUR/USD

EUR/USD Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

EVENTS:

• THURSDAY, AUGUST 28 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US GDP (Q2) second reading. Data for GDP in the first (preliminary) reading showed an increase for Q1 from -0.5% to 3.00%. The second reading will be released on Thursday, and if data comes in weaker the the first reading, the US dollar could then see some negative pressure.
• FIRDAY, AUGUST 29 AT 13:00 GMT+1: GERMAN INFLATION (CPI) (AUGUST). Inflation in Germany, the largest economy in Europe, has stood near target (2.00%). If inflation, however, starts showing signs of rising presssure, the Euro currency may see some upward pressure as rising inflation could stop the European Central Banks from further cutting interest rates in Europe. Eurozone inflaton data will be released on September 2 at 10:00 GMT+1.
• FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 5 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US NONFARM PAYROLLS (NFP) AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (AUGUST). The US labor market data remains one of the most important indicators, used by the US Fed, that could potentially predict if and when there could be new interest rate cuts. The US unemployment rate remained above 4%, last coming in at 4.2% for July.

CENTRAL BANKS: US FEDERAL RESERVE

• BREAKING (AUGUST 22): FED CHAIR JEROME POWELL SPOKE AT THE JACKSON HOLE ECONOMIC SYMPOSIUM AND SIGNALED INTEREST RATE CUTS IN SEPTEMBER. Mr. Powell signaled a potential interest rate cut in September by saying that rate cuts may be justified given rising concern about the job market. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank may cut the federal funds rate when its policy committee next meets in September.
• WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE DECISION. After some weaker-than-expected employment market data in July and downward revisions to June figures and Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, markets have increased their expectations for an interest rate cut in September, expected to be followed by another in December. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to decline to 4% by the end of 2025. This could put negative pressure on the US dollar and, in turn, support the EUR/USD price.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

• BREAKING (AUGUST 27): EUR/USD PRICE TESTED ITS LOWEST LEVEL IN THREE WEEKS (1.15757). The EUR/USD price has fallen below the mark of 1.1600, to test its lowest rate in three weeks (1.15757).
• LONGER-TERM UPTREND CHANNEL: Despite the most recent price decline, the EUR/USD has remained within the longer-term uptrend channel, as depicted on the daily chart below. The channel has been in place since January 2025. However, the price could further decline.
• 100-DAILY MOVING AVERAGE (MA): Despite the most recent price decline, the EUR/USD has remained above its 100-Day Moving Average, confirming that in general the sentiment is still positive, which has been in place since January 2025. However, EUR/USD can change its trend if prices fall back below the 100-Day Moving Average.
• ANALYST OPINION: JP Morgan forecasts 1.20 by the end of 2025 and 1.22 in early 2026.

GRAPH (Daily): December 2024 – August 2025

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

EURUSD, August 27, 2025.
Current Price: 1.1580

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot¹

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100.000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:20 (GMT+1) 27/08/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

• You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.

• Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.