GASOLINE Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- BREAKING (SEPTEMBER 22): GASOLINE PRICE HAS TESTED ITS LOWEST LEVEL IN OVER 5 MONTHS ($1.9072).
- LONG-TERM SUPPORT AREA AT THE PSYCHOLOGICAL MARK OF $2: Gasoline prices have recently tested levels near $2, which has been acting as a support area since early 2021.
- STATISTICS (2024-2025): GASOLINE PRICES TEND TO RECOVER AFTER TESTING THE AREA NEAR THE MARK OF $2. Gasoline prices have approached the area near $2 in total eleven times since 2024. According to the daily chart below, after testing levels near $2, gasoline prices tend to recover towards the area between $2.15 and $2.30. Although prices can fall, too.
GRAPH (Daily): February 2024 – September 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
STATISTICS: ROLLOVER
- ROLLOVER: DEFINITION. According to Investopedia.com, market participants roll over futures contracts to switch from the front-month contract that is close to expiration to another contract in a further-out month.
- EXAMPLE (SEPTEMBER 21, 2025): Rollover from the contract that expires in September to the contract that expires in October took place on September 21, 2025.
- EVENT (SEPTEMBER 21, 2025): FUTURES CONTRACT ROLLOVER. On September 21, due to a contract rollover, the gasoline price opened down lower initially by 2.92%, creating a negative price gap on the daily chart as depicted above.
- RECENT HISTORY (JANUARY 28, 2024 – SEPTEMBER 21, 2025): 20 CONTRACT ROLLOVERS HAVE OCCURRED SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2024. In the period between January 2024 and September 21, 2025, the gasoline market has seen 20 contract rollovers in total.
- STATISTICS (JANUARY 28, 2024 – AUGUST 24, 2025): CONTRACT ROLLOVER GAPS 19 of 20 CLOSED UP. The period between January 2024 and September 2025 has seen 20 rollover gaps, with an average price gap of 0.61 dollars. According to the MetaTrader 4 Platform, 19 of 20 rollovers filled the gap.
GEOPOLITICS: TENSIONS REMAIN HIGH BETWEEN THE USA/UKRAINE, AND RUSSIA
- EU IS PREPARING THE 19TH PACKAGE OF SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA; PROPOSAL WAS RELEASED ON FRIDAY (SEPTEMBER 19): EU Commission President von der Leyen has announced the details of the EU’s proposed 19th sanctions package against Russia. Sanctions on an additional 118 Russian shadow fleet vessels; Bans on all transactions involving Rosneft and Gazpromneft; Asset freezes on refineries, oil traders, and petrochemical companies in third countries, including China; Transaction bans on additional Russian and third-country banks;
- BREAKING (SEPTEMBER 14): US PRESIDENT TRUMP SENDS LETTER TO ALL NATO NATIONS: STOP IMPORTING OIL FROM RUSSIA AND PLACE 50%-100% TARIFFS ON CHINA. President Donald Trump issued an ultimatum to NATO allies in a letter Saturday, saying the US will issue “major” sanctions on Russia only when they agree to do the same and stop importing oil from Russia.
- BREAKING (SEPTEMBER 12): U.S.A. URGED G-7 (Japan, France, UK, Italy, Canada, Germany, and oftentimes the EU) TO IMPOSE HIGH TARIFFS ON INDIA AND CHINA OVER RUSSIA'S OIL IMPORTS. The United States pressured G7 countries to impose higher tariffs on India and China for importing Russian oil. UPDATE (FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 12): VIDEO CALL OF G-7 FINANCE MINISTERS. In a video call on Friday, finance ministers from the Group of Seven leading economies discussed a US proposal for a round of new measures as Donald Trump steps up efforts to broker a peace deal in Ukraine.
RUSSIAN OIL PRODUCTION: Russia produces around 9% of total oil production in the world, or nearly 10 million barrels a day.
RUSSIAN OIL EXPORTS: Russia’s oil exports are around 5 million barrels a day, representing around 5% of total global consumption.
Gasoline, September 22, 2025
Current Price: 1.9080
|
GASOLINE |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
2.0300 |
|
|
2.0000 |
|
|
1.9600 |
|
|
1.8600 |
|
|
1.8500 |
|
|
1.8400 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
Gasoline |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
12,200 |
9,200 |
5,200 |
-4,800 |
-5,800 |
-6,800 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
10,374 |
7,823 |
4,422 |
-4,082 |
-4,932 |
-5,782 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
9,042 |
6,819 |
3,854 |
-3,558 |
-4,299 |
-5,040 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
16,844 |
12,702 |
7,179 |
-6,627 |
-8,008 |
-9,388 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:10 (GMT+1) 22/09/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit