GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA-UKRAINE PEACE TALKS IN JEOPARDY
- EVENT (SEPTEMBER 5): US PRESIDENT TRUMP EXPECTS OUTCOMES ON A POTENTIAL PUTIN-ZELENSKY MEETING IN THE NEXT 1 WEEK (ESTIMATED UNTIL SEPTEMBER 5). President Donald Trump said on August 22 he will give Russian President Vladimir Putin two week, further extending his deadline for potential consequences against Russia after urging the Russian leader to meet with his Ukrainian counterpart in hopes of ending the war. His latest comments come as the momentum around peace talks has stalled, with no sign that the bilateral meeting the White House has pushed is happening. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said earlier that there were no plans for a meeting between the two leaders.
- BREAKING NEWS (AUGUST 28): RUSSIA CONDUCTED NEW ATTACKS ON KYIV, HITTING THE DIPLOMATIC BUILDING OF THE E.U.; GERMAN CHANCELLOR MERZ SAID THERE WILL NOT BE ZELENSKY-PUTIN MEETING.
OTHER GEOPOLITICS
- EVENT (CHINA, AUGUST 31- SEPTEMBER 1): SHANGHAI COOPERATION ORGANISATION (SCO) SUMMIT (TIANJIN, CHINA). The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) is a Eurasian political, economic and international security organization of ten member states. It was established in 2001 by the People's Republic of China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, and Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. In June 2017, it expanded to eight states, with India and Pakistan.
- PARTICIPANTS: 20 WORLD LEADERS, INCLUDING RUSSIAN PRESIDENT PUTIN AND INDIA’S PRIME MINISTER MODI. President Xi Jinping will gather more than 20 world leaders at a regional security forum.
US FEDERAL RESERVE AND OTHER EVENTS:
- BREAKING (AUGUST 22): FED CHAIR JEROME POWELL SPOKE AT THE JACKSON HOLE ECONOMIC SYMPOSIUM AND SIGNALED INTEREST RATE CUTS IN SEPTEMBER. Mr. Powell signaled a potential interest rate cut in September by saying that rate cuts may be justified given rising concern about the job market. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank may cut the federal funds rate when its policy committee next meets in September.
- FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 5 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US NONFARM PAYROLLS (NFP) AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (AUGUST). The US labor market data remains one of the most important indicators, used by the US Fed, that could potentially predict if and when there could be new interest rate cuts. The US unemployment rate remained above 4%, last coming in at 4.2% for July.
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE DECISION. After some weaker-than-expected employment market data in July and downward revisions to June figures, markets have increased their expectations for an interest rate cut in September, expected to be followed by another in December. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to decline to 4% by the end of 2025.
ANALYST OPINION:
- GOLDMAN SACHS: THE BANK MAINTAINED GOLD PRICE TARGET AT $3,700 END-2025 AND $4,000 MID-2026.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND PRICE ACTION:
- RELATIVE STRENGHT INDEX (RSI) POINTS TO AN UPTREND: The RSI index for gold stands at 61, pointing to a positive momentum, however still below the overbought value at 70.
- LONG – TERM UPTREND: Gold price has steadily kept above its long term dark blue trendline, indicating that the price is in an uptrend since at least January 2025. The prices could also move in the opposite direction if the price falls below the long–term trendline.
- GOLD PRICE ABOVE ITS MOVING AVERAGES: Gold price has kept above its 100, 50 and 20 – day moving averages, strongly pointing to an uptrend. The trend could reverse if Gold goes below these averages.
- GOLD HIT A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH OF $3,499.76 (April 22, 2025): Gold has traded around $3,408, and if a full recovery takes place, the price of Gold could rise around $90. Although the price could also decline.
GRAPH (Daily): January 2025 – August 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GOLD, AUGUST 29, 2025.
Current Price: 3,408
GOLD |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
3,700 |
|
3,500 |
|
3,450 |
|
3,370 |
|
3,350 |
|
3,330 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
GOLD |
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
29,200 |
9,200 |
4,200 |
-3,800 |
-5,800 |
-7,800 |
Profit or loss in €2 |
24,994 |
7,875 |
3,595 |
-3,253 |
-4,965 |
-6,677 |
Profit or loss in £2 |
21,662 |
6,825 |
3,116 |
-2,819 |
-4,303 |
-5,786 |
Profit or loss in C$2 |
40,111 |
12,638 |
5,769 |
-5,220 |
-7,967 |
-10,715 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT+1) 29/08/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.