Nvidia (#NVDA) Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
THE COMPANY:
- NVIDIA develops and produces three-dimensional graphics processors and other related software. The company also produces graphics processing units, which is a critical component when developing artificial intelligence and self-driving autonomous vehicles.
- NVIDIA’S LATEST PRODUCT PIPELINE FOR THE AI CHIP SECTOR: Nvidia’s CEO said the company plans to release a new family of AI chips yearly, accelerating its prior release schedule of roughly every two years. The current pipeline includes the Blackwell chip, set for release in 2024; The Blackwell Ultra, set for 2025; The Rubin chip, set for 2026 and the Rubin Ultra, set for 2027.
EVENTS & ANALYSIS:
- EVENT (WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 28, AFTERMARKET): Q2 EARNINGS RESULTS. The company is expected to print 28.653 billion dollars in revenue for Q2 (a new record high) and a net income of 15.884 billion dollars (a new record high). This would be up 111.94% in revenue year on year and an increase of 152.64% in net income year on year. (Source: Bloomberg Terminal)
- EARNINGS AND REVENUE PERFORMANCE: The company has beat revenue estimates 7 times over the past 8 quarterly earnings releases, and has beat earnings estimates 7 times over the past 8 quarterly earnings releases. In other words, 87.5% of the time Nvidia would beat either earnings or revenue estimates in the past. (Source: Bloomberg Terminal)
- NVIDIA STOCK PERFORMANCE ONE DAY AFTER EARNINGS (LAST 8 QUARTERS): The stock rose 8.04% one day after earnings were released. However, the stock price could decline.
Source: Bloomberg Terminal
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
OTHER NEWS
- GOLDMAN SACHS: Nvidia’s earnings on August 28 and the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on August 22 and 23 could drive this rebound in the U.S. stock market. According to Goldman Sachs, the situation will open up a short-term window during which investors will have an opportunity to “buy the dip” and take advantage of a rebound in equity prices which will see stock markets hit new highs after the U.S. elections in November.
- BANK OF AMERICA: NVIDIA IS ONE OF THE TOP “REBOUND” STOCK PICKS. Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya noted Nvidia is one of the firm's top "rebound" picks amid what he expects to be a comeback for semiconductors to end 2024.
- NVIDIA SHARES ADDED NEARLY $1 TRILLION IN VALUE TO THE S&P 500 IN THE SECOND QUARTER ALONE – According to the most recent reports, Nvidia’s stock value added almost $1 Trillion over the second quarter period. The significant value add reaffirms Nvidia’s momentum, as Wall Street banks continue to forecast higher price targets.
- NVIDIA CONTINUES TO REMAIN ONE OF THE LARGEST COMPANIES IN THE WORLD, NOW WORTH MORE THAN $3 TRILLION: Nvidia continues to remain one of the largest companies in the world in terms of market capitalization, making it the most valuable company in the world. The company has increased its market value by around 150% since the beginning of 2024.
NVIDIA: PRICE ACTIONS
- NVIDIA HIT AN ALL TIME HIGH OF $140.49 (June 20, 2024). The price of stock trades currently around $126 and if it follows a full recovery to its most recent all-time high of $140.49, this could provide an upside potential of around 11%. However, the stock price could further decline.
- ANALYST OPINION: Wells Fargo forecasts $155, Jefferies forecasts $150, Citigroup forecasts $150, Rosenblatt forecasts $200, Barclays forecasts $145.
Nvidia, August 21, 2024
Current Price: 126
NVIDIA |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
200 |
|
180 |
|
149 |
|
109 |
|
105 |
|
100 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
Profit or loss in $ |
74,000 |
54,000 |
23,000 |
-17,000 |
-21,000 |
-26,000 |
Profit or loss in €² |
66,562 |
48,572 |
20,688 |
-15,291 |
-18,889 |
-23,387 |
Profit or loss in £² |
56,857 |
41,490 |
17,672 |
-13,062 |
-16,135 |
-19,977 |
Profit or loss in C$² |
100,704 |
73,486 |
31,300 |
-23,135 |
-28,578 |
-35,382 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:00 (GMT+1) 21/08/2024
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.