SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
SILVER MARKET: HIGHER DEMAND AMID SUPPLY SHORTAGES LEADS TO A WIDENING DEFICIT
- NEWS: CHINA ANNOUNCED EXPORT RESTRICTIONS STARTING 2026. Starting in 2026 China will enforce a licensing framework that replaces its previous quota system according to Global Times. This will effectively restrict 60–70% of the global silver supply to domestic use. China is the second largest silver producer in the world, responsible for 13% of total global supply, and second largest silver exporter in the world (11%). It is estimated that if China reduces exports by 50%, global deficits could exceed 5,000 metric tons annually.
- MARKET DEFICIT: SILVER MARKET REMAINS IN DEFICIT SINCE AT LEAST 2016. The silver market is expected to face a deficit of around 315 million ounces in 2025. While the market has been in deficit since 2016, the shortfall has grown significantly since 2022.
- SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS: SILVER PRODUCTION REMAINS AROUND 800 MILLION OUNCES PER YEAR. Annual production has held near 800 million ounces in 2025, remaining largely unchanged since 2016. There is no clear indication that output will be meaningfully higher in 2026 or the following years.
- DEMAND REMAINS STRONG: SOLAR PANELS, ELECTRIC VEHICLES AND A.I. INFRASTRUCTURE. Silver demand is expected to reach approximately 1,150 million ounces in 2025, with further increases anticipated in 2026 and beyond due to rising demand from solar production, electric vehicles, and rapidly expanding A.I. data center infrastructure.
SILVER DEMAND EXPECTED TO RISE: BATTERY USE
- SAMSUNG SOLID-STATE BATTERIES: A NEW SOURCE OF SILVER DEMAND. Samsung is developing solid-state battery technology, which uses more silver than traditional lithium-ion batteries because of silver’s excellent electrical conductivity. If Samsung starts large-scale production, especially for electric vehicles and advanced electronics, this could significantly boost long-term demand for silver, on top of existing demand from solar panels, electronics, and AI infrastructure.
- SAMSUNG AMONG THE TOP 10 EV BATTERY PRODUCERS. According to cnevpost.com, Samsung is the 7th largest electric vehicle battery producer in the world, with a 3.3% market share. The global leader is CATL, holding 38.1% of the market.
- SAMSUNG - TESLA: SAMSUNG SUPPLIES TESLA’S ENERGY STORAGE SYSTEMS. According to Reuters, reports indicate that Samsung has signed a major deal to supply batteries for Tesla’s Energy Storage Systems (ESS), including Megapack and Powerwall. The initial agreement is estimated to be worth around USD 2 billion.
EVENTS
- WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 31 AT 13:30 GMT: US WEEKLY INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS. A higher-than-expected reading would signal a weakening U.S. labor market and reinforce expectations for continued FED easing into 2026. This typically supports silver prices, as lower rates and a weaker dollar tend to benefit precious metals. This data measures the number of people filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week.
- FRIDAY, JANUARY 9 AT 13:30 GMT: NONFARM PAYROLLS AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (DECEMBER). A weaker than expected jobs report would point to further deterioration in the U.S. labor market, strengthening the case for additional FED rate cuts in the coming months. This would likely support silver prices. Last month’s payrolls increased by 64,000.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- SILVER PRICE HIT A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ON DECEMBER 28, 2025 ($83.895). Silver price has broken out to a new all-time high of $83.895, confirming the strong uptrend since the beginning of 2025. The zone between $70 and $68 has now become silver’s new support area. Silver has now gained more than 160% so far in 2025. However, the price could also decline.
- STATISTICS: SILVER ROSE 3.49% ON AVERAGE IN JANUARY (2015 - 2025). Silver historically rose between in January almost each year since the 2015-2025 period.
GRAPH (Daily): May 2025 – December 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
SILVER, December 26, 2025.
Current Price: 74.2
|
SILVER |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
90.00 |
|
|
85.00 |
|
|
80.00 |
|
|
70.00 |
|
|
69.00 |
|
|
68.00 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
SILVER |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
158,000 |
108,000 |
58,000 |
-42,000 |
-52,000 |
-62,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
134,287 |
91,791 |
49,295 |
-35,697 |
-44,196 |
-52,695 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
117,060 |
80,016 |
42,971 |
-31,117 |
-38,526 |
-45,935 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
216,345 |
147,881 |
79,418 |
-57,509 |
-71,202 |
-84,895 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:55 (GMT) 29/12/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.